Universities Under a Stranglehold

A higher education investigation

The campus is open.
What’s disappearing?

Program cuts, staff reductions, and the changing academic workforce are reshaping what universities can deliver.

Review window: October 26, 2025–October 26, 2026

Explore the evidence
Editorial illustration of a professor, student, and adviser in a university corridor.
Institutional survival and educational capacity are different outcomes.

A university can retain its name, buildings, and ceremonies while losing programs, expertise, and access.

This investigation documents uneven restructuring across six campuses. The central question is whether financial repair preserves the educational capacity that students and communities need.

Document-based investigation and research synthesis. The cases illustrate different mechanisms; they are not a national census of cuts.

01

Growth and pressure can coexist

Three national indicators, three different reporting periods. None is a count of this year’s university cuts.

18.6million

Postsecondary students

Spring 2026 headcount, up 1.0% from spring 2025. [9]

−1.0%

Public support per student

Inflation-adjusted education appropriations per FTE, FY2024–FY2025. [11]

31.8%

Tenured or tenure-track share

Full-time tenured or tenure-track faculty as a share of all faculty, fall 2023. [1]

Spring 2025 → spring 2026

Enrollment recovery is uneven.

Public two-year institutions grew faster than other sectors. A national increase does not establish that every campus or department is growing.

Undergraduate headcount change. Source: National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. [9]

FY2024 → FY2025

Record totals can hide a per-student squeeze.

Aggregate state and local appropriations reached $130.7 billion. Yet enrollment outpaced funding growth, and purchasing power per FTE declined.

Appropriations are inflation-adjusted; enrollment is FTE. These measures have different denominators and must not be added. Source: SHEEO. [11]

What these indicators can and cannot establish

Enrollment estimates, public finance measures, and faculty appointment shares describe different populations and years. They cannot be combined into a national job-loss figure. A valid national program-loss count would require consistent program identifiers, openings as well as closures, and separate dates for proposals, approvals, and teach-outs.

The investigation does not establish a nationwide collapse in tenure-track hiring during the latest twelve months.

02

Six campuses. Different kinds of change.

Explore dated institutional records. Counts, units, and implementation status differ and should not be summed.

6 of 6 cases

Approved withdrawals
Nebraska · December 5–6, 2025

Nebraska–Lincoln

Admissions stopped

Regents approved program eliminations; new admissions stopped December 6.

Read the record and reporting question

Affected offerings include geology, meteorology-climatology, statistics, and selected education and textiles credentials. Completion pathways remain for existing students. Some minors and alternative data science pathways continue.

Interpret carefully. A credential can disappear while some teaching in the discipline remains.

What to investigate next

Which required courses, instructors, and completion dates are guaranteed during the teach-out?

Documented sources [15]

Wind-down announced
Texas · January 30, 2026

Texas A&M

Programs + courses

Women’s and Gender Studies degree offerings and a graduate certificate entered a wind-down; six courses were also canceled.

Read the record and reporting question

The university cited both system policy and limited enrollment following its course review. Existing degree students may complete their programs.

Interpret carefully. Degree withdrawals and six course cancellations are separate units. The stated rationale includes policy as well as demand.

What to investigate next

How were policy criteria, student demand, and completion protections weighed separately?

Documented sources [12]

Separation notices
New York · June 4, 2026

The New School

19 faculty · 68 staff

The president reported involuntary separation notices alongside broader restructuring and voluntary measures.

Read the record and reporting question

Management cited enrollment and financial pressure. Faculty representatives challenged the necessity and allocation of the cuts. Management’s projected savings are not independently verified outcomes.

Interpret carefully. The source records notices and competing interpretations, not a nationwide employment measure.

What to investigate next

What savings were actually realized after replacement teaching, reassignment, and transition costs?

Documented sources [13] [14]

Final retrenchment plan
Oregon · July 21, 2026

Portland State

36 full-time reductions

The final plan included two program eliminations, 36 involuntary full-time academic position reductions, and three reductions to part-time.

Read the record and reporting question

The plan was reduced from 52 proposed involuntary reductions. Instructional departures were extended to June 2027; academic-professional departures to December 2026.

Interpret carefully. Final plans and future departures must remain distinct from completed layoffs.

What to investigate next

Did the smaller final plan preserve required teaching and supervision while meeting the financial baseline?

Documented sources [3]

Planning context
Utah · September 2026 statement

University of Utah

285–855 positions

An indicative range concerned nonfaculty, nonclinical positions during a modernization effort.

Read the record and reporting question

The current statement qualifies the range as planning context, not a uniform target or a final total. Attrition and retirements may contribute to reductions.

Interpret carefully. This is not evidence of 855 completed layoffs or faculty losses.

What to investigate next

What final decisions, implementation dates, and retained service responsibilities replaced the planning range?

Documented sources [16]

Review and consolidation
North Carolina · September 15, 2026

East Carolina

47 program decisions

The university reported 47 decisions after reviewing roughly 107 programs; 36 recommendations originated with faculty or programs.

Read the record and reporting question

The university described reductions through attrition, retirement, and redesign, alongside three July consolidations. Program review can produce several types of decisions.

Interpret carefully. Forty-seven decisions do not mean 47 program closures.

What to investigate next

How many decisions were closures, combinations, redesigns, or continuations, and what changed for students?

Documented sources [10]

03

Tenure is a long-term structural story.

A declining share of appointments does not directly measure the number of new tenure-track jobs.

Full-time tenured or tenure-track Other faculty appointments
1987
2023

Two observed endpoints, not an annual trend. “Other” is the calculated complement. AAUP’s June 2026 report uses federal fall 1987 and fall 2023 data. [1]

Stock: who is employed?

Count filled tenured, tenure-track, full-time non-tenure-track, and part-time appointments at a defined date. Track vacant lines separately. A falling share can coexist with growth in absolute numbers.

Flow: who enters or leaves?

Track hires, retirements, resignations, nonrenewals, and involuntary departures over the same period. Hiring authorizations and advertisements are not completed hires.

Work: who teaches and supports students?

Measure course sections, student credit hours, advising, supervision, service, and research obligations. Appointment share does not reveal how those responsibilities are distributed.

Does tenure status alone determine teaching quality?

No. Studies at particular institutions and in particular courses found favorable outcomes from some non-tenure-line instruction. Those findings do not establish that insecure employment improves education everywhere. Preparation time, pay, continuity, mentoring, academic freedom, and governance responsibilities require direct evaluation. [2] [4]

04

What is driving the decisions?

These mechanisms overlap. Each campus requires its own evidence, financial baseline, and decision record.

Demography

A smaller traditional pipeline

Explore the mechanism

WICHE projects roughly 13% fewer high-school graduates by 2041, following a peak around 2025. This is not a forecast that every college loses 13% of enrollment. Adult students, transfers, participation, migration, and international recruitment can change demand. [8]

Ask who the institution serves and whether recruitment produces sustainable net revenue.

Revenue

More students can mean less per student

Explore the mechanism

Enrollment growth and rising aggregate appropriations can coexist with reduced purchasing power per full-time-equivalent student. Dependence on discounted tuition, restricted revenue, or volatile enrollment compounds the challenge. [9] [11]

Separate recurring unrestricted revenue from temporary support and restricted resources.

Policy

Academic decisions can have multiple causes

Explore the mechanism

Texas A&M explicitly cited system policy alongside enrollment in its review. Public finance research also links state funding reductions to changes in disciplinary offerings. Neither establishes a single explanation for all six campuses. [5] [12]

Separate documented policy requirements, financial assumptions, and demand evidence.

Accounting

A closed degree is not automatically a saving

Explore the mechanism

A small-major program may teach prerequisites to many other students. Required teaching, facilities, administration, and student completion obligations may remain after a credential is withdrawn.

Identify costs that can actually be avoided after replacement work, teach-out, transition, and revenue effects.

05

What could students and communities lose?

These are consequences to investigate, not measured outcomes attributed to every campus in this report.

A path to completion

A teach-out works only when courses, qualified instructors, supervision, and financial protections remain available.

Evidence to request

Funded completion plans, course schedules, named advisers, substitutions, remaining semesters, and actual time to degree.

Nearby opportunity

Place-bound students may have few realistic alternatives when an accessible institution drops a subject. Geographic access is already uneven. [6]

Evidence to request

Travel-time and program maps, transfer agreements, online feasibility, placement capacity, costs, and students’ relocation constraints.

Durable expertise

A single specialist can sustain a laboratory, accreditation, dissertation supervision, and teaching required by other programs.

Evidence to request

Vacancies in essential specialties, grants submitted, supervision loads, technical support, doctoral completion, and succession plans.

Continuity and support

Reassigned work can appear as an efficiency while increasing advising waits, unsupported labor, or course bottlenecks. Student services matter for outcomes. [17]

Evidence to request

Denied registrations, cancellations, advising waits, staff workload, faculty turnover, student departures, and service response times.

“The decisive question is what the institution can still deliver after the cuts, and what evidence proves it.”Kelly Emrick · University Program Cuts and the Future of Higher Education
06

Four possible institutional futures

Explore the relationship between financial resilience and academic capacity. This is a conceptual model, not a forecast or scoring instrument.

↑ Academic capacity

Financial resilience →

Possible trajectory

Capacity at risk

Qualified people and meaningful programs remain, while recurring finances are unresolved. The opportunity is to redesign operations, strengthen retention, and secure realistic support before essential expertise is lost.

Evidence to watch

Track liquidity, recurring operating results, net tuition, and the cost of retaining essential capacity.

Possible trajectory

Sustainable renewal

An institution may offer fewer programs while strengthening those it retains. Completion obligations are funded, service teaching is protected, and savings are tied to visible reinvestment.

Evidence to watch

Verify both savings and educational performance: required-course access, completion, support continuity, and reinvestment delivered.

Possible trajectory

Compound vulnerability

Partnerships, shared programs, mergers, or an orderly exit may need consideration. Decisions should be judged against actual student alternatives and funded transition obligations.

Evidence to watch

Map feasible completion routes, travel and placement constraints, remaining expertise, and the cost of each transition.

Possible trajectory

Fragile stabilization

Narrower access, depleted research capacity, or unsupported work may weaken the educational experience. If retention or demand deteriorates, the financial improvement may prove temporary.

Evidence to watch

Monitor course shortages, advising waits, student departures, turnover, and supervision capacity alongside the budget.

Original synthesis by Kelly Emrick. No university is assigned to a quadrant. Stronger and weaker are conceptual descriptions, not validated thresholds.

07

A 90-day review that protects capacity

Build a decision record that connects avoidable costs with educational responsibilities. Check an item when the supporting record has been assembled.

0 of 15 records assembled

Checklist progress only. This is not an institutional quality or risk score.

Days 1–30 · Finance

Establish the financial baseline

Responsible: Finance and institutional research

Days 1–30 · Academics

Map educational dependencies

Responsible: Provost and faculty bodies

Days 31–60

Compare realistic alternatives

Responsible: Joint academic and finance review group

Days 61–90

Make the decision reviewable

Responsible: Trustees and president

Each term

Verify outcomes against the baseline

Responsible: Academic and finance committee

Checks remain only while this page is open. Download the checklist to retain your record. Recommendations are original analysis; institutions must set thresholds from their own obligations and baselines.

The next investigative reporting step

Request board-approved budgets, audited financial statements, program-review criteria, employment counts, hiring authorizations, completion plans, and projected savings. Then compare announcements with implementation and interview administrators, faculty, staff, students, and employers.

Record new programs and new hires alongside withdrawals. Gross cuts alone do not establish net institutional change. Neither institutional statements nor faculty objections independently settle disputed claims.

08

Inspect the evidence

Seventeen report references, including six peer-reviewed studies. Institutional statements document announcements; they do not independently verify promised savings.

Method and limits

The event window is October 26, 2025–October 26, 2026. Six cases were selected purposively for verifiable documentation and contrasting mechanisms. Earlier research and demographic projections provide context and retain their actual observation periods. Some announced actions extend into 2027.

This is a document-based investigation and critical synthesis, not an interview investigation, systematic review, or national census. No national closure or job-loss total is calculated. National data have different reporting lags and denominators. The future scenarios and governance checklist are original recommendations, not measured causal effects.

Six research studies: findings and limits

Gicheva (2026) [5]

State funding cuts are linked to changes in disciplinary offerings at public four-year universities.

Limit: A shift-share design relies on identification assumptions and does not establish causes for each 2026 case.

Jaquette and Curs (2023) [7]

Enrollment composition and associated revenue are relevant to tenure-line hiring at public research universities.

Limit: Historical institutional panel relationships do not guarantee a viable recruitment strategy for every campus.

Figlio, Schapiro, and Soter (2015) [4]

Some non-tenure-line introductory instruction produced favorable subsequent learning outcomes.

Limit: Eight Northwestern entering cohorts cannot represent all institutions or employment conditions.

Bettinger and Long (2010) [2]

Adjunct instruction can support subsequent student interest, depending on the field.

Limit: Course-taking outcomes do not encompass research, mentoring, or governance.

Webber and Ehrenberg (2010) [17]

Student-service expenditure is relevant to persistence and graduation.

Limit: Older observational data do not identify every effective service or spending choice.

Hillman (2016) [6]

Geographic access to nearby colleges is uneven across communities.

Limit: The study maps opportunity, not the causal effect of a particular program closure.

  1. American Association of University Professors. (2026, June 8). Annual report on the economic status of the profession now available.
  2. Bettinger, E. P., & Long, B. T. (2010). Does cheaper mean better? The impact of using adjunct instructors on student outcomes. The Review of Economics and Statistics, 92(3), 598–613.
  3. Cudd, A. (2026, July 21). Details on the final retrenchment plan. Portland State University.
  4. Figlio, D. N., Schapiro, M. O., & Soter, K. B. (2015). Are tenure track professors better teachers? The Review of Economics and Statistics, 97(4), 715–724.
  5. Gicheva, D. (2026). Effects of state funding cuts on program offerings at public universities. Economics of Education Review, 114, Article 102748.
  6. Hillman, N. W. (2016). Geography of college opportunity: The case of education deserts. American Educational Research Journal, 53(4), 987–1021.
  7. Jaquette, O., & Curs, B. R. (2023). Enrollment growth and faculty hiring at public research universities. Research in Higher Education, 64, 349–378.
  8. Lane, P., Falkenstern, C., & Bransberger, P. (2024). Knocking at the college door: Projections of high school graduates (11th ed.). Western Interstate Commission for Higher Education.
  9. National Student Clearinghouse Research Center. (2026, June 4). Final spring enrollment trends.
  10. Rogers, P. G. (2026, September 15). Chancellor Rogers’ message, September 2026. East Carolina University.
  11. State Higher Education Executive Officers Association. (2026). State higher education finance: FY 2025.
  12. Texas A&M University. (2026, January 30). Texas A&M University completes spring 2026 course review to support academic integrity.
  13. Towers, J. (2026, June 4). A message from President Towers. The New School.
  14. Unglesbee, B. (2026, June 10). The New School AAUP slams faculty layoffs. Higher Ed Dive.
  15. University of Nebraska–Lincoln. (n.d.). Academic program elimination information. Retrieved October 26, 2026, from
  16. University of Utah. (2026, September 8). University of Utah continues modernization effort. Retrieved October 26, 2026, from
  17. Webber, D. A., & Ehrenberg, R. G. (2010). Do expenditures other than instructional expenditures affect graduation and persistence rates in American higher education? Economics of Education Review, 29(6), 947–958.
The Shrinking University

Based on University Program Cuts and the Future of Higher Education.
Kelly Emrick, DHSc, PhD, MBA, BSRT(ARRT)R

Evidence snapshot · October 26, 2026Back to top ↑